The
Heilongjiang Forestry Administration through the grasp market analysis
and understanding of the Northeast Forest timber sales are sluggish to
seven reasons:
First, the national real estate control policy. In
most parts of China in 2012 prices in stagflation, the developers have
reduced the scale of real estate development, reducing the use of wood.stone coated steel roofing tile Eighteen, the state gradually introduced to suppress the New Deal real estate, the market situation confusing. The
introduction of five countries, the recent second-hand housing market
is active, the recent prices overall rose nearly three years the highest
increase, impact on Yishoufang the market will be after the
announcement of the rules have been gradually emerging. Changes and influences of the real estate market??? Has not yet transmitted to the timber market.
Domestic
and international economic situation has not yet bottomed out,
downstream furniture, home improvement industry continued to decline in
the demand for wood. Affected
by the decrease in domestic demand for wood, the Zhangjiagang,
Manzhouli, Suifenhe timber port and the Guangdong Yuzhu international
timber market, timber distribution center have a lot of inventory. Oversupply situation for a moment, difficult to break.
Third, the impact of foreign timber imports increased. The first is the decrease in sales of Russian timber. Manzhouli and Suifenhe Port backlog import large quantities of wood, and the high quality low price. Secondly,
although the Russian timber imports is still on top, but with the
increasing of China's timber import channels, the pattern of timber
imports quietly changing, such as the New Zealand timber and the influx
of North American timber so they can quickly become China's second
largest timber import channels. Although
New Zealand radiata pine and Douglas fir in North America material as
the Russian timber, but now because of its low price, size class,
adequate supply in many areas instead of traditional larch, pine, birch,
poplar and other species. It
is understood that since the first half of 2011, the number of imported
timber from New Zealand, North America and other countries has been
showing strong growth. And the shift from mainly imported by land crossings to the maritime shipping. By
seaborne imports timber is not only lower freight costs, but also has a
huge number of transport, low cost, so the price has a strong
competitive advantage.
Fourth, due to the impact of other forest areas of the surrounding low-cost wood. Investigation, the local forestry bureaus timber price is far lower than the prices of our forest areas.
By 2012 timber market downturn, industry professionals more confused state of mind. In this case, the downstream businesses more select view without moving, more conservative operation. Thus forming a vicious circle: the more the market is not good, more downstream businesses would not join the goods. Not join more goods, more bad marketing.
Sixth, the impact of wood processing industry cost pressures doubled. Wood
processing various cost increasing timber producing countries to
develop the local economy, but also constantly set higher export
requirements raise the price of timber producing. Layers of accumulated the wood highly profitable era will be gone forever. 5-10% of the profit point will become the market mainstream.
Seven
is repeated barriers to exports, the impact of the intensification of
the international trade protection and trade friction.
After
the 2008 subprime mortgage crisis, the United States introduced to
environmental protection, the fight against illegal timber harvesting
and trade on the grounds of the Lacey Act amendments to improve forest
product exports to the United States threshold. May
22, 2008, the U.S. Lacey Act amendment came into effect, the amendment
of the Lacey Act reporting requirements for imported wood products,
requiring wood raw material from legitimate sources, the forestry
regulations apply not only to the United States, and the extension of
foreign laws and regulations jurisdiction of behavior in violation of the Lacey Act amendments, will be subject to civil and criminal penalties.
2009
to 2012, China's timber imports substantial growth in the main for
furniture manufacturing, construction decoration, wood a large number of
finished products exported to Europe and the United States. The
implementation of the Lacey Act amendments, Europe and the United
States to be able to control not only of wooden goods, but also extends
to the raw materials. Furniture
and wood products companies have chosen to narrow the scope of the raw
materials, export-oriented furniture industry had to choose North
America and Australia and other countries export timber, and participate
in the chain of custody certification, leading to further increase in
the cost of raw materials. Europe
and the United States passed the bill legality certification further
earnings and its timber exports increased significantly in the card
industry chain.
The
EU's long-awaited regulations on wood and wood products and new
environmental design Directive provisions will be held on March 3 in all
EU member states to enforce a result, domestic wood furniture and wood
products exports to the threshold of the European Union will further
lift high. Before
a lot of small and medium-sized furniture manufacturers is very much
reduced overseas orders and the appreciation of the renminbi, the
suffering of the meager earnings, new regulations even more original
precarious furniture export enterprises worse, many companies choose to
give up the EU market fought in the domestic or other markets.
Wood
products exports, forest areas and processing factories can not get
foreign orders directly affect the province large diameter high-quality
timber sales.
2013,
in the context of the global economic environment is full of complexity
and uncertainty, the domestic timber market will be even more cautious.
Market and
business confidence and expected instability timber in forest operation
of the market will be in the process of seeking new support.stone coated steel roofing tile In
the environment of the recovery in the domestic economy pick up, due to
the economic operation of chain lag sake, forest wood is difficult in a
short period of time, the strong sales performance, prices will
continue to slump, not a big rebound in the near future needs to be policy transmission effect to the timber market is expected to pick up in the second half.
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